Antonio Villaraigosa’s Plan to Lower Gas Prices


Message from Antonio

Californians are paying more for gasoline than anyone else in the country — and it's getting worse.

My answer is direct: we have to lower prices for working families.

Right now, most of our vehicles use gasoline - and that isn’t changing anytime soon, especially for working families. To lower prices, we must stop importing foreign oil (especially in light of Trump’s war in Iran), cut regulatory red tape driving up costs, invest in clean fuels, and maintain responsible environmental protections that ensure California continues to produce the cleanest fuel in the world.

This is not a choice between affordable energy and a clean environment. It is a choice between a managed, pragmatic approach that maintains California's refining capacity, protects over 500,000 oil and gas jobs, preserves $2.7 billion in revenue for clean energy projects, and brings gas prices down — or an ideological approach that shutters refineries, spikes prices, and leaves working families holding the bill.

Priorities

PRIORITY 1: LOWER GAS PRICES FOR WORKING FAMILIES

The goal is simple: Californians should not be paying $2 or $3 more per gallon than the rest of America because of Sacramento’s policy choices.

My Administration will attack gas prices from both the supply side (supporting in-state refining, reducing regulatory costs passed through to consumers) and the demand side (monitoring refiner margins, ensuring fair pricing, and delivering direct relief when prices spike).

Supporting in-state oil and gas production is a direct lever for reducing gas prices. Every barrel of crude oil produced in California reduces the state’s dependence on imported crude, which must be shipped by tanker, adding cost, time, and emissions. California’s in-state crude production, while declining, is extracted under the strictest environmental standards in the world; replacing it with imports from countries with far weaker standards does not advance environmental goals. It simply exports the pollution while importing the cost.

I have pointed to the stakes: “Look at Norway: it’s one of the greenest countries in the world, but it still produces oil and gas. They use that revenue to fund their transition to green energy.” California should follow that model by producing responsibly, using the revenue to invest in clean energy, and stopping the punishment of working families with gas prices that are the direct result of policy choices.

My Administration will support a California Fuel Affordability Guarantee (CFAG) which caps gas prices for working families.

California should establish a Fuel Affordability Guarantee that provides automatic, targeted relief to working families when gas prices exceed a defined threshold. When the statewide average regular gasoline price exceeds $5.50 per gallon for 30 consecutive days, the state would automatically disburse monthly fuel assistance payments to income-qualified households (income below 400% FPL) via the Franchise Tax Board. Payments would equal the per-gallon differential above $5.50, multiplied by an estimated 80 gallons per month, for each registered vehicle in the household (up to two).

Funding would be sourced from:

(1) windfall revenues captured through the CEC’s margin cap authority (which generates state revenue when refiner margins exceed the cap);

(2) a portion of cap-and-trade auction proceeds (which increase when fuel prices increase); and

(3) if needed, General Fund appropriations during price emergencies. The automatic trigger mechanism eliminates the need for legislative action during each price spike, ensuring relief reaches families within 30 days of the trigger.

IMPACT ON GAS PRICES: Combined supply-side and demand-side actions in this section (margin monitoring, LCFS cost containment, direct relief during spikes) could close up to half of California’s $1.40/gallon premium over the national average, saving the average household $700+ per year.

PRIORITY 2: PROTECT AND SUPPORT CALIFORNIA’S REFINING CAPACITY

California’s refining industry is in crisis not because of market forces alone, but because Sacramento has created a regulatory environment so hostile that refineries cannot justify continued investment. Phillips 66 shut down its 139,000-barrel-per-day Wilmington refinery in 2025. Valero is closing its 145,000-barrel-per-day Benicia facility by spring 2026. Together, these closures eliminate nearly 20% of California’s refining capacity. The result will be higher gas prices, greater import dependency, and the loss of thousands of jobs with no net reduction in global emissions, since the fuel Californians consume will simply be refined elsewhere under weaker environmental standards. A Villaraigosa Administration will treat refinery retention as a priority, reform the regulatory barriers driving refineries out of California, and ensure that the remaining refining infrastructure has the regulatory certainty needed to continue operating and investing.

My Administration will support the California Refinery Retention and Investment Act.

California should enact a Refinery Retention and Investment Act that provides meaningful incentives for existing petroleum refineries to continue operating in California and to invest in operational improvements. The Act would include:

(1) a 10-year regulatory stability guarantee for refineries that commit to continued operations and compliance with existing environmental standards, protecting them from retroactive application of new regulatory requirements during the stability period;

(2) an expedited permitting pathway for refinery capital investments that improve efficiency, reduce emissions, or add CCUS capacity; and

(3) a state investment tax credit of 15% for qualifying refinery modernization expenditures (up to $50 million per facility per year).

The economic case is straightforward: a single large refinery generates approximately $1.5 to $3 billion in annual economic activity, supports 1,000 to 3,000 direct jobs (averaging $85,000+ in wages), and generates tens of millions in local property and sales tax revenue. The cost of retaining a refinery through tax credits and regulatory certainty is a fraction of the cost the state bears when one closes — in lost tax revenue, unemployment insurance, gas price increases, and import dependency.

IMPACT ON GAS PRICES: Retaining California’s remaining refining capacity prevents the projected $1.21+/gallon price increase from further closures — saving a typical two-vehicle household $1,200 to $2,400 per year at the pump.

PRIORITY 3: CUT REGULATORY RED TAPE DRIVING UP COSTS

California has layered regulation upon regulation on the oil and gas industry often with good intentions but without adequate consideration of cumulative cost impacts on consumers and the industry’s economic viability. The Low-Carbon Fuel Standard, cap-and-trade, unique fuel-blend specifications, escalating air quality requirements, and well-permitting delays have created a regulatory environment that is opaque, unpredictable, and punitive. A Villaraigosa Administration will conduct a comprehensive regulatory review of all rules affecting oil and gas operations, eliminate redundant or unjustified mandates, introduce cost-containment mechanisms where climate programs threaten energy affordability, and establish a regulatory coordination office to ensure that industry engages with one state process rather than a dozen.

IMPACT ON GAS PRICES: Reducing the California regulatory premium by even 25% through streamlined permitting and cost containment would save the average California driver $130 to $340 per year. Faster permitting for efficiency upgrades helps refineries lower operating costs that are ultimately passed to consumers.

PRIORITY 4: INVEST IN THE INDUSTRY’S FUTURE: CCUS, CLEAN FUELS, AND ENHANCED RECOVERY

The future of California’s oil and gas industry is not decline. Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technology allows continued operation of existing facilities while dramatically reducing their carbon footprint. Clean fuel production (renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, green hydrogen) leverages existing refinery infrastructure, workforce skills, and supply chain logistics. Enhanced oil recovery with CO2 injection produces crude oil while permanently sequestering carbon underground. These are not speculative technologies. They are commercially proven and incentivized by federal tax credits. My administration will make California the national leader in CCUS deployment, clean fuel production, and technology-enhanced energy production.

My Administration will support the California CCUS Fast-Track Permitting and Investment Act.

California should enact a CCUS Fast-Track Permitting and Investment Act that:

(1) establishes a 12-month maximum permitting timeline for CCUS projects at existing industrial facilities;

(2) provides a state tax credit of $15/ton of CO2 permanently sequestered in California, stacking with the federal 45Q credit to make California the most attractive CCUS investment destination in the nation;

(3) creates a streamlined CEQA pathway (programmatic EIR) for CCUS projects that meet defined environmental performance standards; and

(4) directs CalGEM to apply for EPA Class VI well primacy to bring permitting under state control.

The combined federal ($85) and proposed state ($15) credit of $100/ton would make California’s CCUS incentive the most competitive in the country, attracting billions in private investment. At an estimated 10 million tons of CO2 per year of capture potential from California’s industrial facilities, the state tax credit would cost approximately $150 million annually — a modest investment that would generate thousands of high-paying jobs, billions in private capital expenditure, and measurable emissions reductions.

IMPACT ON GAS PRICES: Converting refineries to clean fuels rather than closing them maintains fuel supply infrastructure, preventing the supply gap that drives prices up. Every barrel of clean fuel produced in-state is a barrel that doesn’t need to be imported at premium prices.

PRIORITY 5: MAINTAIN RESPONSIBLE ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTIONS

Supporting California’s oil and gas industry does not mean abandoning environmental responsibility. I am an environmentalist who has spent decades fighting for cleaner air, cleaner water, and a healthier climate. The position is clear: California’s environmental protections, including SB 1137’s setback requirements, AB 1279’s climate goals, and the state’s opposition to offshore drilling, are non-negotiable commitments, not bargaining chips. But environmental protection and a productive energy industry are compatible when regulation is science-based, consistently enforced, and designed to achieve measurable outcomes rather than to punish an industry out of existence. My Administration will fully implement SB 1137, maintain California’s world-leading emissions standards, oppose any offshore drilling expansion, and invest in community air quality monitoring while ensuring that environmental rules are rational, predictable, and paired with pathways for compliance that keep the industry operating and investing.

PRIORITY 6: REFORM AND OVERHAUL THE CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

My Administration will impose an immediate moratorium on all new CARB regulations that increase energy costs for California consumers and businesses, and will pursue a comprehensive reform and overhaul of CARB to restore transparency, accountability, and cost discipline to the state’s air quality and climate regulatory framework while continuing to advance California’s environmental goals through smarter, more efficient regulation.

My Administration will propose the CARB Accountability and Consumer Protection Act to fundamentally reform CARB’s governance and regulatory process:

(1) Immediate Regulatory Moratorium: On Day One, I will issue an executive order imposing an immediate moratorium on all new CARB regulations that increase energy costs for consumers and businesses, pending a comprehensive 180-day review of every pending and recently adopted rule. No new cost-increasing regulation may take effect until it passes a mandatory cost-benefit analysis certified by the Legislative Analyst’s Office.

(2) Mandatory Cost-Benefit Analysis: Every CARB regulation that increases consumer energy costs by more than $0.01 per gallon of gasoline or $0.001 per kilowatt-hour of electricity must be accompanied by a published, independently verified cost-benefit analysis. Regulations that fail the analysis cannot be adopted

(3) Consumer Cost Cap: Establish a statutory ceiling providing that no combination of CARB regulations may add more than $0.25 per gallon to gasoline prices above the national average. If cumulative CARB-related costs exceed the cap, the Board must suspend or modify the most recently adopted regulation until costs fall below the threshold.

(4) Governance Overhaul: Reform CARB’s Board structure to increase accountability: require Board members to hold public hearings in affected communities before adopting major rules; establish a five-year sunset review process requiring legislative reauthorization of CARB’s major programs; and create an independent Inspector General for environmental regulation to audit CARB’s cost projections and regulatory impact assessments.

IMPACT ON GAS PRICES: An immediate moratorium on new cost-increasing CARB regulations, combined with mandatory cost-benefit analysis and a statutory consumer cost cap, would halt the regulatory escalation that has added more than $0.50 per gallon to California gas prices and driven refineries out of the state.

[1] Legislative Analyst’s Office, “The 2025–26 Budget: Various California Air Resources Board Proposals,” 2025. The Governor’s 2025–26 budget allocates $1.2 billion to CARB, a 17% reduction from 2024–25 estimated expenditures. CARB employs more than 1,700 staff.